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90 Stories. One Chart.

The Wisdom In Price
retail

$XRT is an equally weighted ETF made up of 90 retail stocks.

That means 90 different companies.

90 balance sheets.
90 earnings calls.
90 management teams.
90 narratives.

Everything from apparel and auto retail to consumer staples, food, and drug retail, all distilled into one price.

And that price is at all-time highs.

This matters.

Because every one of those companies has its own set of risks, headlines, and excuses. 

Some are fighting margin pressure. 

Some are dealing with labor issues. 

Some are navigating shifting consumer behavior. 

Each has its own “reason” to be cautious.

Yet here we are.

All of that information, all of those debates, all of those individual decisions made by very smart investors with real capital, are being voted on every day. 

The result is simple. Higher prices.

Yes, the news has been noisy.

Geopolitics. Economic worries. Plenty of reasons to hesitate.

But price doesn’t trade headlines. Price discounts the future.

Markets are forward-looking, not backward-justifying. 

When an ETF like XRT is breaking to new highs, it’s telling you something about the aggregate health of retail and, by extension, the consumer.

You can choose to trust the narratives outside the market. Or you can listen to the message inside the market.

One is loud.

The other is honest.

Choose wisely.

Anyway, that’s my two cents.


New Episode Tomorrow Thompson Two Cents Live

I’ll be going live tomorrow at 5pm EST to break down how I tactically bottom-fish stocks.

While I still prefer to operate with leadership, there’s a lot of rotation happening under the surface right now. 

Early trend development, when done with risk control, can complement existing leadership rather than compete with it.

I’ll walk through how I identify those setups, what I look for technically, and where I’m willing and not willing to take risk.

Tune in.