Why I Added a New Position in CrowdStrike Process > Prediction By Larry Thompson January 27, 2026 I added a new position in CrowdStrike today.It checks all three boxes in my process.Let's get into it. Box #1: Relative Strength Where It MattersWhen you look at CrowdStrike $CRWD versus iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF $IGV, the relative trend is clean. Higher highs. Higher lows. A steady uptrend over time.That tells me this stock continues to outperform its peer group on a relative basis. Even during this recent pullback, it never truly lost that leadership. Box #2: Momentum (RSI) That Refused to Break During corrections, strong stocks behave differently than weak ones.CrowdStrike never got meaningfully oversold. Instead, momentum stalled. RSI stopped going down and started compressing. That’s a common trait in stocks that are bottoming within a larger bull market structure.Think of it like a coil. Energy builds as downside momentum fails to accelerate. When RSI reclaims 50, that’s often the release.Today, we saw that confirmation.I don’t need perfection. I just need evidence that sellers are losing control.Box #3: Absolute Price Is What Pays UsRelative strength and momentum help frame the idea, but price is the scoreboard.This chart does a few important things at once.(1) We have a falling wedge pressing directly into the 200-day moving average. (2) We have well-defined pivot highs from early 2025 lining up near the same zone. (3) And most importantly, we now have a breakout through that compression.Risk is defined. If price fails back below this level, I’m wrong. That’s the deal.Upside is simple. If software regains momentum, the path back toward prior highs is open. If not, the loss is controlled.That asymmetry is what I’m buying.No Prediction, Just ExecutionTrading is not about predicting the future. It’s about building a system you can run again and again. You won’t win every hand, but over time, the math works in your favor if the process is sound.This trade is simply an execution of that process.Anyway, that’s my two cents.Thompson Two Cents Live 🚀 Throw it on 1.5x speed and let it rip.👍 Give it a like. It’s the easiest way to show me some love. Thompson's Two Cents Larry Thompson delivers timeless trading lessons and market wisdom in quick daily notes. More from Thompson's Two Cents Larry Thompson The Snowday Stalk List | Ep. 33 3 Charts I'm Stalking January 25, 2026 Larry Thompson The Stock Market Lies Don't Let It January 22, 2026 Larry Thompson Confirmation For Caution Annoying Day In The Market January 20, 2026 Trade Smarter With Larry’s TakeThompson’s Two Cents offers concise market wisdom, timeless trading lessons, and chart-driven perspective you can trust. You must have JavaScript enabled to use this form. Email Address More from Thompson's Two Cents Thompson's Two Cents Watch Now