Q4 Is Where Bulls Feast 🐂

Today's number is... 3

Three months left. And seasonality points to one of the strongest stretches of the entire year.

Here’s the chart:

Let's break down what the chart shows:

• The chart plots the average seasonal path of the S&P 500, with green bars showing positive months and red bars showing negative months.

The Takeaway: We are about to enter one of the strongest three-month stretches in the market’s playbook.

This isn’t my call. It’s 75 years of market math.

October marks the turn, November adds fuel, and December often finishes with the Santa Claus Rally.

Each month reinforces the next, creating one of the most reliable runs of the year.

This pattern has persisted through every type of backdrop.

High inflation and low inflation.

Recessions and expansions.

Hawkish Fed or dovish Fed.

Midterms, elections, or Washington deadlock.

The tape has shown the same tendency over and over again.

This isn’t a seasonal pattern to shrug off. It’s one of the market’s most reliable edges.

The final quarter isn’t about wrapping up. It’s when the market shows its power.

History has handed the bulls the ball. What will they do with it?

Let me know! 

Grant Hawkridge | Chief Aussie Operator, All Star Charts

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