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macke gas prices

Let’s keep this super simple: Gas prices spiking higher is bad for consumer stocks. Not only consumer stocks, but consumer stocks in particular. 

Here’s a 1mo chart of average gas prices in the US, per GasBuddy:

...
The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
$XLP
$XLY
The Denim Party is Over. Grab a Gatorade.

For the last year, the mall was a one-trick pony. If you had five pockets and a zipper, you had a business. But yesterday’s bloodbath in specialty retail—headlined by American Eagle (AEO) cratering 14.7% and Gap (GAP) stumbling over its own...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
$GAP
$AEO
Target
Target shares rip higher!

Target is so Back!

This is how I win. I don't index. I don't hide in a basket of stocks, collect fees, and trust fate. I look for good set-ups, place sometimes over-sized bets and obsess over my picks like a protective mother. I...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
macke letter
$TGT
macke WMT AMZN

As the AI panic wave crushes sector after sector, it's long past time to cut through the noise and figure out which companies are best positioned to see their businesses, profits, and, by logical extension, stocks improve through smart...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
macke letter
WMT
macke nyc fao schwartz
Why AI Can’t Replace a Walk Down Broadway

In an age of hyper-optimized algorithms and AI-driven predictive modeling, it is tempting to view the "boots on the ground" retail visit as a sentimental relic. But for the serious investor, data is merely the trail; Manhattan is the beast itself. As...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
macke letter
$ATZAF
Saks
FAO Schwartz
$LULU
d
Mattel drops 25% on Risk Shift

Mattel Takes it on the Chin in the New World of Toys

The Q4 2025 earnings results for Mattel and Hasbro have revealed a significant strategic divergence. While both companies faced a "just-in-time" holiday ordering shift from...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
macke letter
$HAS
$MAT
tgt
New CEO Michael Fiddelke Announces his presence with Authority

Target’s Executive Reset: A Return to "Retail 101"

Michael Fiddelke is wasting no time. Just ten days into his tenure as CEO, Fiddelke has executed a sweeping leadership overhaul aimed at one goal: reclaiming Target’s...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
macke letter
$TGT
a
Best quarter in years for the specialty chain
 

 

Gap reported its best quarter in at least four years, beating EPS and revenue estimates and raising margin guidance for the critical holiday quarter. Gap Inc. operates four divisions—Gap, Old Navy, Banana Republic, and Athleta—but over...
The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
earnings
macke letter
$GAP
d
Target Stumbles, TJX and Williams-Sonoma Shine
The retailers reported about as expected this morning. The good stores beat and guided to a decent Q4. Target mentioned consumer sentiment a few times, guided revenue lower, and announced a huge capex expansion for next year, suggesting estimates will...
The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
earnings
macke letter
$TGT
$TJX
$WSM
n
The Future of Walmart without Doug McMillon
 

 

In an unexpected development, Doug McMillon announced he will step down as CEO of Walmart at the end of...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
earnings
macke letter
$WMT
w
Walmart, Home Depot, Gap and more set to report next week
 

 

Asked about his Hollywood success, screenwriter William Goldman famously said, “Nobody knows anything.”

This year, Wall Street forecasters face unique challenges: economic data has been unavailable for six weeks, consumer...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
earnings
macke letter
$WMT
$TGT
$HD
$LOW
$GAP
a
The World's Best Retailer is Back
  Shares of Amazon are hitting all-time highs in the pre-market after AWS growth exceeded 20% for the first time since 2022. This has alleviated concerns that the company was losing market share in AI and the cloud, despite years of massive...
The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
earnings
macke letter
$AMZN
starbucks
Chartfest Tuesday

 

Keeping it visual today ahead of a busy earnings week. Starbucks and Amazon ahead of earnings, 2 winning trades on Mattel and Hasbro, Deckers gets a micro-bounce and a Minnesota double shot. 

99% charts, 110% value. Enjoy!

...
The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
earnings
macke letter
$BBY
$TGT
$SBUX
$AMZN
$HAS
$MAT
$DECK
Report Card
Undoing the past

 

 

 

Nike Report Card Nike beat expectations on the top and bottom lines but cautioned the “Holiday Quarter” (Nike’s Q2) would be slightly weaker than analyst estimates. In yesterday’s preview, I suggested...
The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
earnings
macke letter
$NKE
Nike
Nike reports tonight. Here's how they got into this mess.

 

 

 

Nike's investor relations homepage features a Mission Statement that all but screams written by committee. “Nike, Inc. is a Growth Company,” it declares, “We create innovative, must-have products. We build deep, personal...
The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
earnings
macke letter
$NKE
$ONON
Stich Fix Earnings
Trading SFIX with Sean McLaughlin

Options trades ahead of Stitch Fix earnings. With the great Sean McLaughlin, Chief Options Strategist at ASC.

 

 

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
Options
d
Hollywood Goes Denim, restaurants reporting and Gov't Data Breakdown

 

 

 

1. Hollywood Goes Denim

Last week in a Members only...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
earnings
$GAP
$AEO
macke letter
$CRBL
$DRI
d
Catching more of last week's rally. Getting ready for RH

Weekly video for September 10th.

 

The strong keep getting stronger. This isn't time to be calling bottoms on retail stocks still trending lower. Get ready for the Dead show that is RH earnigns and Lovesac; all this in more!

...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
earnings
$LEVI
macke letter
$LULU
$RH
$TGT
$LOVE
Video
d
TKO, Lulu Stretched to the Downside?

 

One:  Paramount Skydance, TKO & Netflix

 Last week the White House confirmed plans to host a UFC event. It will be between the White House and the Lincoln Memorial as part of Independence Day...
The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
$LULU
$AEO
$TKO
LOVE
$NFLX
d
Stellar Grades for American Eagle

 

American Eagle Aces Q2 & FY Guidance!

 

 

American Eagle beat estimates and guided Q3 and Q4 above analyst estimates last night. The news sent $AEO shares up 20% in...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
$AEO
d
Lulu, AEO and Macy's report! Plus Tennis!

 

One: Lululemon Reports Thursday: Athleisure on Deathwatch 

 

I’ve been watching Lululemon literally its entire life as a public company (we covered the IPO on CNBC’s Fast Money in July of...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
$LULU
$M
$AEO
d
A quick breakdown of what you need to know about today's earnings

Kohl's, Williams-Sonoma beat! Abercrombie is a tale of two companies. Foot Locker is barely trying ahead of Dick's takeover.

Here's my instant-reaction to this morning's retail earnings. 

 

Kohl's...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
earnings
$WSM
$LEVI
$ANF
macke letter
$KSS
d
Huge earnings week for the mall! Furniture stocks burning!

It's the last week of summer and the biggest week of the year as retail earnings hit maximum intensity in the next 5 days. Here's what I'm watching while most of the other adults are on vacation:

 

 

1. The Earnings Flood...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
earnings
$GAP
$AEO
$WSM
$LEVI
$ANF
$VSCO
macke letter
t
What Walmart told us about Inflation and what it mean for Stocks
 

 

Walmart Sent a Chill Through Retail Yesterday

The world's biggest retailer cranked out a decent quarter yesterday morning and was met with Bronx tears by Wall Street and the rest of the investing world. WMT...

The Macke Letter
Jeff Macke
The Macke Letter
earnings
$WMT
$COST