For the last year, the mall was a one-trick pony. If you had five pockets and a zipper, you had a business. But yesterday’s bloodbath in specialty retail—headlined by American Eagle (AEO) cratering 14.7% and Gap (GAP) stumbling over its own...
This is how I win. I don't index. I don't hide in a basket of stocks, collect fees, and trust fate. I look for good set-ups, place sometimes over-sized bets and obsess over my picks like a protective mother. I...
"Be careful what you wish for because you just might get it" isn't just something old people like to say. Already in the middle of a tough year, consumer discretionary stocks have been rocked since the Supreme Court struck down President Trump's...
As the AI panic wave crushes sector after sector, it's long past time to cut through the noise and figure out which companies are best positioned to see their businesses, profits, and, by logical extension, stocks improve through smart...
In an age of hyper-optimized algorithms and AI-driven predictive modeling, it is tempting to view the "boots on the ground" retail visit as a sentimental relic. But for the serious investor, data is merely the trail; Manhattan is the beast itself. As...
Mattel Takes it on the Chin in the New World of Toys
The Q4 2025 earnings results for Mattel and Hasbro have revealed a significant strategic divergence. While both companies faced a "just-in-time" holiday ordering shift from...
New CEO Michael Fiddelke Announces his presence with Authority
Target’s Executive Reset: A Return to "Retail 101"
Michael Fiddelke is wasting no time. Just ten days into his tenure as CEO, Fiddelke has executed a sweeping leadership overhaul aimed at one goal: reclaiming Target’s...
Gap reported its best quarter in at least four years, beating EPS and revenue estimates and raising margin guidance for the critical holiday quarter. Gap Inc. operates four divisions—Gap, Old Navy, Banana Republic, and Athleta—but over...
The retailers reported about as expected this morning. The good stores beat and guided to a decent Q4. Target mentioned consumer sentiment a few times, guided revenue lower, and announced a huge capex expansion for next year, suggesting estimates will...
Shares of Amazon are hitting all-time highs in the pre-market after AWS growth exceeded 20% for the first time since 2022. This has alleviated concerns that the company was losing market share in AI and the cloud, despite years of massive...
Keeping it visual today ahead of a busy earnings week. Starbucks and Amazon ahead of earnings, 2 winning trades on Mattel and Hasbro, Deckers gets a micro-bounce and a Minnesota double shot.
Nike Report Card Nike beat expectations on the top and bottom lines but cautioned the “Holiday Quarter” (Nike’s Q2) would be slightly weaker than analyst estimates. In yesterday’s preview, I suggested...
Nike reports tonight. Here's how they got into this mess.
Nike's investor relations homepage features a Mission Statement that all but screams written by committee. “Nike, Inc. is a Growth Company,” it declares, “We create innovative, must-have products. We build deep, personal...
Catching more of last week's rally. Getting ready for RH
Weekly video for September 10th.
The strong keep getting stronger. This isn't time to be calling bottoms on retail stocks still trending lower. Get ready for the Dead show that is RH earnigns and Lovesac; all this in more!
Last week the White House confirmed plans to host a UFC event. It will be between the White House and the Lincoln Memorial as part of Independence Day...
Huge earnings week for the mall! Furniture stocks burning!
It's the last week of summer and the biggest week of the year as retail earnings hit maximum intensity in the next 5 days. Here's what I'm watching while most of the other adults are on vacation:
